For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. June 3, 2022 6:00 AM Americans Are Unusually Lukewarm About A Second Biden Term FiveThirtyEight. On Tuesday, FiveThirtyEight's estimate of polling that asks whether Americans would support Democrats or Republicans in an election flipped from majority . That's because, of the 35 seats up in 2022, 21 are already held by Republicans. All predictions from reliable experts show Republicans are way ahead of Democrats. Bettors believe more strongly in Republicans retaking the House than the Senate. House Control. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 seats in the Senate will be decided. Democrats control the chamber as the vice-president can break tie votes. The four groups of voters that will prove critical to results in the 2022 midterm elections. Source: Data compiled by author. Contents. 161 days left until Election Day. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Several of those maps are being challenged in court as illegal gerrymanders, but none seems like a serious possibility to be overturned before the midterms. Advertisement. Updated daily. According to the results displayed in Table 5, only a small minority of Senate contests in 2022 are likely to . According to the results displayed in Table 5, only a small minority of Senate contests in 2022 are likely to be highly competitive. No rating yet: 40 seats. Republicans' national tailwinds might not take them as far in the battle for the 50-50 Senate. Senate Majority Leader. June 1: Georgia moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican; Massachusetts from Likely to Safe . The 2022 midterm elections will be held on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Source: Data compiled by author. 2022 Midterm Election Predictions. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. 2. Democrats currently have a slim 221-208 edge in the House, and the Senate is split 50-50 tie, with Vice President Kamala . The 2022 playing field is . The 2022 midterms are shaping up to be the biggest Republican and conservative victory in generations. People haven't been so hungry to elect Republicans since 1981. June 1, 2022 1:24 PM Greitens 26 Hartzler . Enter your search terms Submit search form : Web: www.electionprediction.org: . Red Wave Incoming! 2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast. The 56-year-old two-term Democrat was reelected in 2020 by just 1 percentage . Table 5: Model predictions for 2022 Senate elections. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2022 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2023 Senate based on those predictions. Weekly email Podcast YouTube. 55.3 % 220 HOUSE SEATS (R) 45.85 % 215 (3-seat majority) HOUSE SEATS (D) 7 2 1 6 9 8 5 4 10 3 1 3 5 4 2 WA OR 2 3 1 5 6 7 9 The circus caused by the Republicans on the election audit, combined with the growing. And all of the 14 . But both markets show bettors' beliefs in Republican victories. The latest 2022 Governor ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site founded by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps, and @lxeagle17. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Democrats currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the House of Representatives with four . 1 Partisan breakdown. Balance Of Power He has been a relatively quiet member of the Senate. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable . Table 5: Model predictions for 2022 Senate elections. Lean Republican: 18 seats. Next > Interactives. PredictIt's markets show odds against a Democratic victory in the House during the 2022 midterms. One special election will be held to fill the final four years of Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla . Politics has consequences, and the horrible and treasonous actions of the Biden regime have led us to this day. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections.For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12:01 a.m. (ET) on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party. That's. Forecast Created by Logan Phillips RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives: 1. The 2022 French presidential election was held on 10 and 24 April 2022. Yes, seriously. 1, 2022. Republicans' odds of taking back Congress next year keep getting better. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. Red Wave Incoming! Lean Democratic: 17 seats. May 23, 2022 North Carolina's 1st District Previous rating: Lean Democratic D.C. Republicans tried to stop the ethically challenged, repeat candidate Sandy Smith from winning the nomination. But it would be very dull not to make some early predictions for the Indian presidential election before then. I will hold off on making my final predictions until the 2022 Indian presidential election odds hit the board. 2022 Election: Latest Updates FiveThirtyEight is tracking the 2022 midterm races for U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor. 35 U.S. Senate seats to be contested in 2022 The U.S. Senate has 50 Republicans and 50 Democrats (including two independents). The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party that, at the End Date listed below, enjoys the support of more than half of the voting members of the U.S. Senate or, in the event that the vice president has the same party affiliation, the support of half or more of the voting members. So, I will briefly touch on what looks likely as we edge closer to one of the biggest political affairs of the year. Explore how Secretary of State Katie Hobbs could perform against five different Republican opponents, and track the latest primary polling. Finally, we launched interactive forecasts for the most high profile Senate races, including, Arizona , Georgia , Ohio , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania . A total of 469 seats in the U.S. Congress (34 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for election on November 8, 2022. Balance of Power. (D) 41. The 2022 playing field is . Explore how Secretary of State Katie Hobbs could perform against five different Republican opponents, and track the latest primary polling. TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2022 Governor Senate Races - 2022 Midterms Elections | 2022 Predictions | 2022 Polls | Election Polls | 2020 Election Data | Democrats 2024 | National Polling Data | Donald Trump 2024 | Joe Biden 2024 | 2024 Election | How Democrats Can Win | How Republicans Can Win | Mitch McConnell | Chuck . Governor Forecast 3. Likely Republican: 34 seats. Last updated: Tue May 31, 2022. The most competitive races, with predicted margins of under 5 points, are expected to be in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. April 1: Wisconsin moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up. Arizona - 2022 Governor Election - Polling and Predictions Beyond the deep blue states of Massachusetts and Maryland, the best chance for Democrats to win a new governorship in 2022 is Arizona. Interactive Map Contested 2022. According to the results displayed in Table 5, only a small minority of Senate contests in 2022 are likely to . Election Prediction Project www.electionprediction.com. Source: Data compiled by author. June 2, 2022. Conditional forecasts for the 2022 midterms Democrats currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the House of Representatives with four seats vacant two Democratic seats. It. Ontario Provincial Election - 2022 Election Prediction Project/Projet D'lection Prvision - www.electionprediction.com Two special elections are also scheduled for November 8, 2022. As no candidate won a majority in the first round, a runoff was held, in which Emmanuel Macron defeated Marine Le Pen and was re-elected as President of France. Senate Polling 4. With the approval of a final map in New Hampshire on May 31, every state in the union now has a new congressional map in place for the 2022 election. https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/consensus-2022-house-forecast Democrats 194 212 Republicans 156 25 13 29 9 22 181 Likely Dem (25) 23 2 0 CA-9 Harder CA-21 Costa CA-25 Ruiz CA-26 Brownley CO-7 OPEN CT-2 Courtney CT-5 Hayes GA-2 Bishop Jr. IL-6 Sean Casten | Marie Newman IL-11 Foster IL-14 Underwood NC-6 Manning NC-14 OPEN NH-2 Kuster But it would be very dull not to make some early predictions for the Indian presidential election before then. Table 5: Model predictions for 2022 Senate elections. Source: Data compiled by author. Our statistical model based on polls, voting history, and interdistrict similarity forecasts Democrats having a 45.8 % probability of a majority. Lean Democratic: 17 seats. According to the results displayed in Table 5, only a small minority of Senate contests in 2022 are likely to be highly competitive. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 8, 2022, and 34 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. With the approval of a final map in New Hampshire on May 31, every state in the union now has a new congressional map in place for the 2022 election. Democrats face an uphill battle to keep their control of Congress. Much is riding on the 2022 midterm elections: the fate of President Joe Biden's agenda, leadership in state capitals across the country and a potential 2024 comeback by former President Donald . Senate Primary Polling 5. June 2, 2022. Speaker of the House. House 2022 Election Predictions (New!) Several of those maps are being challenged in court as illegal gerrymanders, but none seems like a serious possibility to be overturned before the midterms. Table 5: Model predictions for 2022 Senate elections. 2022 Generic Congressional Vote - Economist/YouGov: (R) 43 (D) 43. I will hold off on making my final predictions until the 2022 Indian presidential election odds hit the board. Last updated April 8, 2022, 6:24 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Republicans' national tailwinds might not take them as far in the battle for the 50-50 Senate. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. Polling plus recent congressional redistricting shows Republicans have momentum on their side going into 2022. The Democrats' Midterm Identity Crisis Biden's agenda is stuck. Advertisement. 05/28/2022 07:00 AM EDT. April 1: Wisconsin moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up Current Senate 117 th Congress Interactive Map Contested 2022 2023 Senate 118 th Congress Jun. The 2022 Senate Forecast uses a sophisticated model that includes polling, historic trends, and fundraising to create its projections. That party can retake control with a net gain of one or more seats. TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2022 Governor Senate Races - 2022 Midterms Elections | 2022 Predictions | 2022 Polls | Election Polls | 2020 Election Data | Democrats 2024 | National Polling Data | Donald Trump 2024 | Joe Biden 2024 | 2024 Election | How Democrats Can Win | How Republicans Can Win | Mitch McConnell | Chuck . Top Politics Stories Today. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. Every day, it simulates the election 50,000 times. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. The most competitive races, with predicted margins of under 5 points, are expected to be in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. Ontario 2022 Provincial Election. So, I will briefly touch on what looks likely as we edge closer to one of the biggest political affairs of the year. 5.6k Shares Share Tweet Share Toss-Up: 23 seats. Solid Republican: 145 seats. And because Democrats fell short of their 2020 . TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2022 Governor Senate Races - 2022 Midterms Elections | 2022 Predictions | 2022 Polls | Election Polls | 2020 Election Data | Democrats 2024 | National Polling Data | Donald Trump 2024 | Joe Biden 2024 | 2024 Election | How Democrats Can Win | How Republicans Can Win | Mitch McConnell | Chuck . Solid Republican: 145 seats. (LREM), had defeated Le Pen, leader of the National Rally, once already in the 2017 presidential election, for the term . The 2022 Midterm Elections will take place in less than six months. Arizona Mark Kelly is due for election again in 2022. Toss-Up: 23 seats. No rating yet: 40 seats. Joe Biden Approval Rating Map 6. PredictIt is offering several prediction markets on the 2022 midterm elections. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 34 regular elections in 2022 will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2023. Macron, from La Rpublique En Marche! In fact, we are now at the strongest preference for GOP candidates in 40 years. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Source: Data compiled by author Conditional forecasts for the 2022 midterms. So, bettors who are interested can view these midterm election markets: Senate Control. Current Senate 117 th Congress. Top Ten Senate Races (New!) Arizona - 2022 Governor Election - Polling and Predictions Beyond the deep blue states of Massachusetts and Maryland, the best chance for Democrats to win a new governorship in 2022 is Arizona. alex ( Alex Samuels, politics reporter): Yes, and here's why: 2022 will be the first federal election after the House map (s) are redrawn. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. All predictions from reliable experts show Republicans are way ahead of Democrats. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. GOP Senate Seats. Lean Republican: 18 seats. Likely Republican: 34 seats. May 23: New York ratings added. 2022 Elections Wisconsin Senate race tightens as rivals close in on Barnes Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, who has loaned millions out of his own pocket to his campaign, is a close second to. His party hasn't figured out how to. April 1: Wisconsin moves from Lean to Tilt Republican Fox News 2022 Senate Power Rankings The latest 2022 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 gubernatorial forecast. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. The current 2022 Senate forecast from Inside Elections. All 435 U.S. House seats and 34 of the 100 Senate seats are on the ballot. The Democrat Party is flailing in its Pajama Boy flannels and can't find its way . For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. Michigan Governor - Republican Primary - Target-Insyght/MIRS: Kelley 19 Dixon 9 Soldano 6 Rebandt 1. Filed under 2022 Election. Rep. Tom Malinowski is already written off by much of the New Jersey political establishment. Below, you will find information on the partisan breakdown of each chamber, seats up for election, which seats changed party hands in the last election, and incumbents not seeking re-election.